Indiana vs Wisconsin 11/13/2010

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Wisconsin is a heavy favorite winning 84% of simulations over Indiana. Scott Tolzien is averaging 248 passing yards and 1.6 TDs per simulation and John Clay is projected for 115 rushing yards and a 82% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 16% of simulations where Indiana wins, Ben Chappell averages 2.59 TD passes vs 0.83 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.32 TDs to 1.04 interceptions. Trea Burgess averages 41 rushing yards and 0.28 rushing TDs when Indiana wins and 37 yards and 0.17 TDs in losses. Wisconsin has a 46% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 91% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is WIS -21.5

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